IMPLEMENTATION OF MACHINE LEARNING WITH SVM ALGORITHM FOR EARLY DETECTION OF STUDENT DROPOUT RISK

Authors

  • Sri Mulyati Universitas Pamulang ID
  • Endar Nirmala Universitas Pamulang / IN

Keywords:

Classification, Dropout, Suppot Vector Machine, SVM, Machine Learning

Abstract

One issue that higher education institutions face is dropout rates. The issue of students quitting or dropping out of school can affect a college's reputation, accreditation, and long-term viability. The institution, the individual student, their family, and human resource development are all negatively impacted by student dropout. Universities must thus predict the probability of student dropout to take early preventive action. This study focuses on developing a prediction model for dividing students into three groups: successful dropouts, enrolled, and graduates, using data processing and machine learning approaches. The research data will include academic grades, semesters, attendance, economic background, occupation, marital or single status, and e-learning. High research results using these parameters and the SVM algorithm achieved an accuracy of 78.5%. A degree of accuracy was successfully achieved by the research results using these parameters and the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method, suggesting that the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm is appropriate for predicting student dropout in higher education.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Aini, Q., Rahajeng, E., Tiohandra, M., Pratama, H. A., & Hammad, J. (2025). Predictive Modeling of Student Dropout Using Academic Data and Machine Learning Techniques. Applied Information System and Management (AISM), 8(2), 203–212. https://doi.org/10.15408/aism.v8i2.46659

Beckham, N. R., Akeh, L. J., Mitaart, G. N. P., & Moniaga, J. V. (2022). Determining factors that affect student performance using various machine learning methods. Procedia Computer Science, 216(2022), 597–603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2022.12.174

Cardona, T. A., & Cudney, E. A. (2019). Predicting student retention using support vector machines. Procedia Manufacturing, 39(2019), 1827–1833. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.promfg.2020.01.256

Deleña, R. D., Dia, N. J., Sacayan, R. R., Sieras, J. C., Khalid, S. A., Macatotong, A. H. T., & Gulam, S. B. (2025). Predicting student retention: A comparative study of machine learning approach utilizing sociodemographic and academic factors. Systems and Soft Computing, 7(June). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sasc.2025.200352

Delgado-García, M., García-Prieto, F. J., López-Aguilar, D., & Ceinos-Sanz, C. (2025). Association between procrastination and academic dropout intention in university students. Social Sciences and Humanities Open, 11(February). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2025.101506

Delogu, M., Lagravinese, R., Paolini, D., & Resce, G. (2024). Predicting dropout from higher education: Evidence from Italy. Economic Modelling, 130(October 2023), 106583. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106583

Fiska, R. R. (2017). Penerapan Teknik Data Mining dengan Metode Support Vector Machine. Sains Dan Teknologi Informasi (SATIN), 3(1), 16–23.

González-Ortiz-de-Zárate, A., Alonso-García, M. A., Gómez-Flechoso, M. de los Á., & Aliagas, I. (2025). Peer mentoring, university dropout and academic performance before, during, and after the pandemic in Spain. Evaluation and Program Planning, 113(February). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2025.102676

Hidayat, R., Haris, M., & Simbolon, Z. K. (2024). Implementasi Metode Support Vector Machine ( SVM ) Pada Klasifikasi Drop Out ( DO ) Mahasiswa. 9, 51–59.

López-García, A., Blasco-Blasco, O., Liern-García, M., & Parada-Rico, S. E. (2023). Early detection of students’ failure using Machine Learning techniques. Operations Research Perspectives, 11(April), 100292. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orp.2023.100292

Maniyan, S., Ghousi, R., & Haeri, A. (2024). Data mining-based decision support system for educational decision makers: Extracting rules to enhance academic efficiency. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 6(May), 100242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.caeai.2024.100242

Martínez, J., & Castillo, D. (2024). Prediction of student dropout using Artificial Intelligence algorithms. Procedia Computer Science, 251, 764–770. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2024.11.182

Mustofa, S., Emon, Y. R., Mamun, S. Bin, Akhy, S. A., & Ahad, M. T. (2025). A novel AI-driven model for student dropout risk analysis with explainable AI insights. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 8(November 2024), 100352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.caeai.2024.100352

Niyogisubizo, J., Liao, L., Nziyumva, E., Murwanashyaka, E., & Nshimyumukiza, P. C. (2022). Predicting student’s dropout in university classes using two-layer ensemble machine learning approach: A novel stacked generalization. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 3(November 2021), 100066. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.caeai.2022.100066

Pecuchova, J., & Drlik, M. (2023). Predicting Students at Risk of Early Dropping Out from Course Using Ensemble Classification Methods. Procedia Computer Science, 225, 3223–3232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2023.10.316

Vaarma, M., & Li, H. (2024). Predicting student dropouts with machine learning: An empirical study in Finnish higher education. Technology in Society, 76(September 2023), 102474. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2024.102474

Viloria, A., Padilla, J. G., Vargas-Mercado, C., Hernández-Palma, H., Llinas, N. O., & David, M. A. (2019). Integration of data technology for analyzing university dropout. Procedia Computer Science, 155(2018), 569–574. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2019.08.079

Downloads

Published

2026-09-09

How to Cite

Sri Mulyati, & Endar Nirmala. (2026). IMPLEMENTATION OF MACHINE LEARNING WITH SVM ALGORITHM FOR EARLY DETECTION OF STUDENT DROPOUT RISK. Bulletin of Engineering Science, Technology and Industry, 4(3), 1995–2002. Retrieved from https://bestijournal.org/index.php/go/article/view/237

Issue

Section

Articles